Probability Theory: OK ... I'm

Probability Theory: OK ... I'm now officially obsessed with the odds of Hillary making her run in 2004 vs. 2008. So let's look into this a bit ... currently, UK oddmakers are only making book for the parties, with these odds:

Republicans 8/15
Democrats 11/8

Hey ... how about that! Good news on PA Avenue! But then there's this from Campaigns & Elections ... they call GBv2.0 3 to 2 to keep the UHaul boxes in the basement for another four years (a bit different from our British friends). And while C&E doesn't offer odds for GW against individual dems, they do post odds for the dem nomination ...

Hillary: 5 to 1
John Kerry: 6 to 1
Joe Lieberman: 7 to 1
Dick Gephardt: 10 to 1
John Edwards: 10 to 1 (just a common man ... with millions)
Bob Graham: 12 to 1
Howard Dean: 20 to 1
Joe Biden: 50 to 1
Wesley Clark: 50 to 1
Chris Dodd: 100 to 1
Gary Hart: 100 to 1 (oh, PLEASE GOD let him run)
Bill Bradley: 200 to 1
Russ Feingold: 200 to 1
Gray Davis: 100 to 1
Dennis Kucinich: 500 to 1
Al Sharpton: 1,000 to 1 (really ... that low?)

So there you have it ... the smart money has Hillary as the 5 to 1 favorite. Good thing she's not running ... right?
;-)